The Right Cafe is now serving free coffee,donuts, facts, and opinion here in El Paso County.
The author, who hopefully got himself elected as a bonus member on Saturday is a heavy duty Party volunteer. Since I tried to vote for folks who were willing to do actual work for the party, I'm fairly certain that he got my vote along with Reb and Patsy and one other person whose name escapes me.
He has an interesting analysis on HD 17. The numbers are doubtlessly correct. The analysis completely ignores some ugly facts:
As the facts illustrate, HD17 was lost because the district is shifting to the left and the "Obama" factor also happened to be in the race. Kit ran a solid campaign and the EPCR did all it could to Get Out The Vote.
I did some more research on HD 17 last week (some before, some at the meeting) as well. I found:
1. Others who had heard the rumor that Focus on the Family was coercing local elected officials to avoid being seen with Roupe.
2. Someone who claimed to personally know pro lifers who lived in the district and hadn't voted for Roupe. Right Cafe notes:
It should also be noted that 10% of all those who voted did not vote for either candidate, more than three times the margin of victory. That further demonstrates the impact of the "Obama" factor on the race.
Apparently, those Pro-Lifers voted for Obama, at least according to this "don't blame us" analysis.
3. At the central committee meeting, not a single candidate for any party office addressed the unwillingness of the party to support fiscal conservatives or how to solve that problem. If anyone is contemplating trying to match candidates with districts and then to support those candidates who have to be less conservative to win, no one said anything.
4. Before I agreed to support Kay Rendleman for County Chair, I talked with her about the 2008 HD-17 election. She didn't tell me that my concerns weren't justified. She commented that "the base" wouldn't support Roupe because she was Pro Choice.
5. As I told another blogger, James Dobson was actively and openly discouraging his followers from voting for McCain from February until Sarah Palin was named. This is a pattern going back several elecctions. Given that history, and similar histories in other elections, it is much easier to believe the rumor that he or his organization interfered in the HD 17 race than to believe he and his organization would keep hands off.
6. My very favorite comment from Saturday: "We dropped from 15 state senators to 14 (out of 35). We now have the most conservative group of Republican state senators we have ever had." The social conservative mindset is that they are completely content to be deep in the minority in the legislature as long as they are not contaminated by a fiscal conservative let alone a liberal Republican (if such a thing exists).
There is too much evidence from too many people that suggests that there was an active effort in El Paso County to sabotage Roupe, or at least let her twist slowly in the wind.
This has happened in at least four of the last five elections. It does no good to gloss the problem over in the name of "Party Unity." That has been and would again be faux unity. If no one is willing to talk about the problem and make a commitment to fix it, it won't get fixed.
The "blame game" should not end until there is a commitment to fix the problems. Elected and party officials have to have the spine to publicly object to the pride with which Pro Lifers. the RMGO, the school choice crowd and others take in sabotaging the candidacies of Republicans who aren't in lock step with them.
Even though I find the Right Cafe analysis on this particular subject at best incomplete, I do welcome the new voice in the blogosphere, and especially the capability to do data mining. The more the merrier. He'll fit right in with the RMA and should apply immediately.