The results are in. Here is my take:
5th CD: Lamborn's win was not a surprise. He ran a very smart campaign. The best campaign was run by Jeff Crank. Bentley Rayburn gets my vote for the least disruptive campaign in terms of party unity.
There is a saying that you can't beat something with nothing. At no point was there any daylight between any of the candidates on the issues. It was all about personality and charisma. Voters aren't often moved by personality and charisma when there is an incumbent. If they were, contested primaries would be the norm as there are always at least 50 people in each district who are more likable than the incumbent.
The thing that I am most curious about is the almost universal support in the out of district blogosphere for Jeff Crank. There aren't many bloggers from the 5th CD itself. Boulderite Ross Kaminsky was so far in the tank for Jeff Crank that he compromised his integrity with at least two anti-Rayburn anti-military posts. He will disagree, but we are both entitled to our opinions.
Rocky Mountain Right, with roots in Denver, continues to spit out anti-Lamborn venom even the morning after the election. It seems that 5th CD voters are simply not smart enough to vote for his candidate. The wrong assumption that he continues to make is that when there is a three-way split vote, all of the vote that goes against the incumbent will go to the challenger in a two way race. If you read between the lines, he wants a two-way race in 2010. The outcome won't change, but he doesn't see that.
As to my neutrality, I'd not change a thing. At different points in the campaign, all three campaigns, if not the candidates, were mad at me. I got what I really wanted: An El Paso party that can easily be united to help Bob Schaffer and John McCain cancel out Denver.
6CD
No real surprise there either.
The biggest fallout will be the number of name endorsements that went to Wil Armstrong. The voters didn't follow the leaders. I heard some discontent over the endorsements, and I think it is justified. If Wil Armstrong had a different name, would he have gotten the same level of support from those name endorsers?
The Republican party leadership has, it seems to me, too big a tendency to anoint Princes based on blood and connections. It isn't good for the party, and the voters very often don't follow the leaders. They didn't this time.
4th Judicial DA
Again, the voters were smarter than the leaders.
John Newsome self destructed. He was radio-active, and yet some party leaders were willing to spend personal political capital to try to save him. That habitual desire to close ranks around a tarnished politician is stupid politics. We see it regularly in Congress and the Republicans are out of power there exactly because of it.
Republican voters simply will not vote for tarnished candidates. If they make it through a contested primary and into a contested general, enough Republicans sit on their hands to turn the office over to a Democrat.
HD 15
Doug Bruce managed to tarnish his personal brand. It is a shame, but not a surprise. He could tarnish it further by not showing up at the unity rally.
HD 6
The good guys came out on top. This is a primary that never should have happened. Too many activist Republicans are so focused on being Pro-Life that they are unwilling to nominate a pro-choice candidate in a pro-choice district. They'd rather have a Democrat in that seat who always votes against their interests than a Pro-Choice Republican who usually votes with their interests.
What they almost got was a pretend Pro-Lifer, and very possibly, a pretend Republican.
I blame the state party for this one. It needs to vet the candidates and, if it wants to win, ensure that the candidate that fits the district is nominated.
HD 17
Kit Roupe may turn out to be the candidate with the best chance to win. Sheila Hicks made a good showing.
If I weren't determined to be neutral, I'd have slammed Kit Roupe hard, and she would have deserved every word. You can ask her why, but you won't read it here (for a while).
On to the General Election